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Rendezvous with the Mirova Sustainable Equity Team

September 15, 2025 - 4 min

Today’s world is changing, led by long term transitions: demographic, technological, environmental and related to corporate governance. They will take place regardless of cyclicality within the global economy: sea levels will continue to rise, natural sources of fresh water will continue to become scarcer, people will continue to live longer, and innovations in technology will continue to change the way the world interacts and conducts business.

Watch regular updates from the Mirova Sustainable Equity Team on global markets and the economy and the long-term global secular trends shaping our world.

Data centre discussion with Joe Toscano and Shawn Kumar - September 2025

Welcome to another episode of Rendez-vous with the Sustainable Equities Team. I'm Joe Toscano, an equity analyst on the team. And I'm Shawn Kumar, an equity analyst on the team. Today we're going to talk to you about data centers. Joe will kick us off.

Now that most of Q2 earnings season is behind us, we can review how the data center market is looking going into the second half. Upon review of trends leaving Q2, it is clear that AI infrastructure spending is not slowing down. And what is driving this growth in data center builds is the mega trend of generative AI throughout 2025. Hyperscaler and AI CapEx expectations have grown considerably. Starting before Q1 CapEx expectations from the five biggest AI spenders was expected to be around 340 billion. Coming out of Q1, this was up to 360 billion. And now exiting Q2, we are at 420 billion in total CapEx spend for 2025. There's been a lot of concerns regarding the return generated from the large CapEx outlays. We're looking at how these five performed revenue beat consensus expectations by an average of 3.5% across these names and earnings was ahead by almost 12%.

It's not all AI, but is helped by AI tailwinds while GPU chips get a lot of headlines. When it comes to AI, there are many components that are involved in building out data centers on the server side. In addition to GPUs and accelerated chips, there are CPUs, storage, memory, and network interface cards. The networking side includes switches that connect servers and racks, and a leaf spine architecture and routers to connect different networks together along with things like firewalls and load balancers to manage the data. Lastly, optical includes different types of copper and fiber optic cables for data transmission compute, fabric interconnect ties GPUs together within the server, and there's also rack direct cable connections and large data center interconnect as well. In addition to the digital side, there's a large billet of gray space to go with it, which you'll hear more about from Shawn.

Joe discussed the digital side inside a data center referred to as the white space and mentioned the gray space. The white space contains a lot of the areas that we have covered, including semiconductors, server hardware, and networking equipment. The gray space broadly covers the infrastructure it needed to run a data center, including the electrical cooling and ventilation and building operation equipment outside of the building. The value chain includes companies providing construction and engineering services, real estate, and critically the energy supply to meet the growing power needs of these data centers. Now, this supply can come from a variety of sources, including renewables, and there's typically a need for short-term backup power as well. Now, it's worth noting that while the size of the addressable market for the white space equipment such as the semiconductors is substantially larger, the infrastructure found in the gray space and outside of the building is just as critical for the rollout of these data centers more broadly. And as the technology evolves and generative AI gets more sophisticated, there's a greater and greater need for equipment focused on power management and for advanced cooling technologies that can handle the higher level of heat generation coming from these semiconductors. And lastly, securing the energy supply for a data center is often the bottleneck for expansion that many of the providers face.

Well, we hope you found this to be helpful, and thank you for joining us today.

Healthcare sector update with Hua Cheng - August 2025

Hello everyone.

Welcome to another episode of Rendez-vous with the Sustainable Equity team.

I'm Hua Cheng, a portfolio manager on the team. As earnings season begins, we're starting to see results come in. One sector that we have been analyzing very closely is healthcare. Despite its recent underperformance, as long-term investors, we continue to see strong opportunities driven by significant demographic and lifestyle shifts. We expect structurally higher healthcare spending in the long term. Just this week, we heard quarterly results from two large life science companies, and we would like to share a quick update on the result and also discuss the current environment. Life science business has several headwinds. One of them is the weaker demand of bioprocessing business after COVID. Second one is a challenging situation in China, partly because of the local funding, partly because of tariff. Third one is uncertainties with the US, such as the President Trump's executive order on most favored nations pricings, tariffs, etc.

While all these factors are beyond our control, as portfolio manager, we focus on how individual companies navigate all these challenges.

Back to the quarter results. This week, we believe that the overall outcome are positive. We continue to see the gradual improvement from the bioprocessing business. Demand situation in China is challenging but better than initially expected. The uncertainty on tariffs remains, but here again, its influence on individual concrete result is also less significant than initially expected. And more importantly, we believe that these companies navigate all these unusual challenges very well. We believe their fundamentals remain very strong. The long term opportunities within the healthcare sector remain in place. We continue to favor these high-quality life science companies, not only because of their broad exposure to healthcare spending, but also because of their execution skills.

Thank you for tuning in to this episode. Keep an eye out for more update from the team as earning season continues.

Second half 2025 outlook with Jens Peers - July 2025

Hello everyone. Welcome again to Rendez-vous with the Mirova Sustainable Equities team. Today I'm in Paris with my team here. It's brutally hot. Climate change is not really helping us today. And I thought it would be actually a very good time to share some of our views for the second half of this year. We've had obviously very volatile first half of the year dominated by geopolitical issues and by, you know, the tariffs discussions. And we expect that to continue with a lot of binary events starting already on the 9th of July when the 90 day moratorium around the tariffs is gonna end. And we're gonna get more clarity at that time, very likely leading to more volatility in the markets as well. Generally if you can avoid a recession in the US and certainly also like a global recession if you can avoid that, I still think we're gonna have, you know, an okay second half of the year for equity markets as well.

But again, it's gonna be very volatile. What we do know is that we're gonna start seeing the impact of the tariffs from the summer and going into the second half of the year as well. So we're quite negative on anything related to the US consumer because either we're gonna see increased prices, which will lead to lower demand, or consumer stocks will have to absorb that in their margins, which ultimately may weigh and will weigh very likely on their share prices as well. So that's an area we're avoiding apart from companies with exposure to the lower income consumer which in this kind of scenario typically should actually outperform as well.

Three areas we do like are the continuation of AI. AI is actually being deployed a lot faster than we already anticipated. So we continue to see opportunities across the whole supply chain on the equipment side, but also focus more and more on how companies integrate AI in their business models as well to help them to either reduce costs or to add to their margins and to add to their growth as well.

A second area also partly related to AI is building out our energy system. For the first time in a very long time we expect increasing energy demand as well, which is good for combination of things, including renewables, but also the grid, in mainly Europe and in the US including companies that operate the grid, but also companies that make components to go into the grid for instance.

And a third area that we really like as well is you know, companies that help local companies because we have this focus on building out the local economies now as well, but that help those local companies to grow in terms of field software to be active online, helping them to reorganize their supply chains more locally as well, these are all areas we like for the second half of the year as well.

So, looking forward to the next six months and I'll see you in a few weeks’ time.

The team

Experienced investment team
Jens Peers, CFA
CIO
Mirova US*
Hua Cheng, PhD, CFA
Portfolio Manager
Mirova US*
Soliane Varlet
Portfolio Manager
Mirova*

Mirova U.S. is exempt from the requirement to hold an Australian Financial Services Licence (AFSL) under the Corporations Act 2001 (Cth) in respect of financial services provided to wholesale clients.

Mirova (Paris) provides financial product advice and services to Australian wholesale clients as an Authorised Representative (No. 001252398) of Natixis Investment Managers Australia Pty Limited (ABN 60 088 786 289 and AFS Licence 246830). 

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